Demonstration of the PADRE spacecraft assessment mode. This analysis simulated the destructive re-entry of a 1000kg component-centric vehicle, modelled as a relatively simple structore comprising approximately 40 components. Re-entry is predicted from a circular sun-synchronous orbit of 130km altitude using SAMj. Uncertainties in the initial state vector, atmosphere density, material properties, drag and heating coefficients are considered. A standard Monte-Carlo of between 1000 simulations has been executed.
Gaussian Fit | Beta Fit |
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Mean: 1.1e+02 (+/- 0.37 / 0.37) Standard deviation: 6 (+/- 0.28 / 0.25) | Location: -6.2e+06 Scale: 6.2e+06 Beta A: 2.3e+06 Beta B: 5.1 |
Gaussian Fit | Beta Fit |
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Mean: 1.1e+05 (+/- 1.3e+03 / 1.3e+03) Standard deviation: 2.1e+04 (+/- 9.8e+02 / 9e+02) | Location: 4.5e+04 Scale: 1.5e+05 Beta A: 4.7 Beta B: 6.1 |
ESA PADRE 2025