ESA PADRE Analysis Results


Test case: Example SAMj Controlled Component-Centric Vehicle Re-entry

Demonstration of the PADRE spacecraft assessment mode. This analysis simulated the destructive re-entry of a 1000kg component-centric vehicle, modelled as a relatively simple structore comprising approximately 40 components. Re-entry is predicted from a circular sun-synchronous orbit of 130km altitude using SAMj. Uncertainties in the initial state vector, atmosphere density, material properties, drag and heating coefficients are considered. A standard Monte-Carlo of between 1000 simulations has been executed.

Status

Detailed Results for Component: EPTHST, Data Set: No Risk

Overview

The following distributions include results for all components that demise, including those that demise as atomic components, part of a compound fragment

No Risk Altitude

Gaussian FitBeta Fit
Mean: 8.3e+04 (+/- 1.8e+02 / 1.8e+02)
Standard deviation: 3e+03 (+/- 1.4e+02 / 1.2e+02)
Location: 5.5e+04
Scale: 3.5e+04
Beta A: 16
Beta B: 3.6

PDF/CDF data (download)
Centile data (download)


ESA PADRE 2025